Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 0.079532 0.091922 0.105600 0.121821 0.140537 0.161458 0.186626
2026-01-04 0.060838 0.077689 0.098199 0.125004 0.159135 0.201176 0.256960
2026-01-11 0.050592 0.069280 0.093635 0.127711 0.174201 0.235497 0.322616
2026-01-18 0.043125 0.062513 0.089229 0.128741 0.185772 0.265249 0.384724
2026-01-25 0.036827 0.056080 0.083917 0.127118 0.192588 0.288308 0.439358
2026-02-01 0.031295 0.049803 0.077739 0.123000 0.194645 0.303987 0.484195
2026-02-08 0.028241 0.046788 0.075905 0.124969 0.205791 0.334064 0.554034
2026-02-15 0.025411 0.043696 0.073467 0.125490 0.214403 0.360730 0.621056
2026-02-22 0.023232 0.041364 0.071908 0.127127 0.224814 0.391123 0.697352
2026-03-01 0.020665 0.038021 0.068208 0.124562 0.227546 0.408567 0.752870
2026-03-08 0.018552 0.035212 0.065083 0.122571 0.230915 0.427219 0.812256
2026-03-15 0.017161 0.033553 0.063807 0.123748 0.240086 0.457056 0.895315
2026-03-22 0.016435 0.033100 0.064760 0.129331 0.258386 0.506123 1.021413
2026-03-29 0.015493 0.032117 0.064598 0.132737 0.272871 0.549533 1.141648
2026-04-05 0.014586 0.031086 0.064211 0.135611 0.286541 0.592676 1.266109
2026-04-12 0.013589 0.029747 0.063040 0.136706 0.296606 0.629491 1.381430
2026-04-19 0.012434 0.027930 0.060674 0.134982 0.300459 0.653735 1.472431
2026-04-26 0.011175 0.025739 0.057273 0.130609 0.298020 0.664242 1.534256
2026-05-03 0.010569 0.024940 0.056807 0.132700 0.310177 0.707727 1.675220
2026-05-10 0.009899 0.023917 0.055725 0.133253 0.318847 0.744260 1.804120
2026-05-17 0.009371 0.023168 0.055183 0.134992 0.330449 0.788611 1.956387
2026-05-24 0.008595 0.021732 0.052885 0.132267 0.331042 0.807251 2.048297
2026-05-31 0.007930 0.020493 0.050926 0.130153 0.332884 0.829022 2.150372